Gonna mention some names now *NOT* because they are *ACTUALLY* connected in rumors just yet ( though Christopher Morel has been).

I can sense some of the blanching out there – in both directions! – but I would say that, (1) an “average” major-league player who is pre-arbitration is actually a very valuable piece to have, especially for the current Padres and (2) you have to allow for strong differences in farm systems (and internal evaluations) to move things up and down a little. Not only is it supported by a clearheaded evaluation of the value you’re getting from Soto in 2024 above his salary, but also by recent precedent on these types of trades (Mookie Betts, Francisco Lindor (each of whom, though, was obviously open to an extension, which they subsequently signed)). If it’s a top-10 farm system, then the Padres probably would not get that much in return if it’s a bottom-10 farm system, they would probably get even more.” Of course, the return depends on the strength of the other team’s farm system. If the Padres trade him this offseason, it’s realistic to think in a best-case scenario they’d be able to acquire an average major-league player, a top-three to top-seven prospect (ranking within an organization), a top-12 to top-15 prospect, and maybe even a top-35 to top-40 type prospect. “Soto has one more year of team control before he becomes a free agent. I say all that because I actually found Jim Bowden’s discussion of Soto’s anticipated trade price tag to be among the more realistic and reasonable I’ve seen: That’s the backdrop for trade proposals that sometimes look ABSURDLY too high, and ABSURDLY too light.

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